Learning how to identify and interpret relationships between two different factors.
Have you ever noticed that as the temperature outside rises, people seem to buy more ice cream? Is it just a coincidence, or is there a hidden mathematical pattern connecting these two things?
In psychology, a correlation is a statistical measure that describes the relationship between two variables. When we say two things are correlated, we mean that as one variable changes, the other tends to change as well. We often represent these variables as and . It is important to remember that correlation does not prove that one thing causes the other; it simply shows that they move together. For example, height and weight are correlated, but growing taller isn't the only reason someone gains weight.
Quick Check
If we observe that two variables change at the same time, does that mean one variable caused the change in the other?
Answer
No, correlation does not equal causation; it only shows that a relationship exists.
Correlations have two directions. A positive correlation occurs when both variables move in the same direction. If increases, also increases. If decreases, also decreases. A negative correlation occurs when variables move in opposite directions. As increases, decreases. Think of a negative correlation like a seesaw: when one side goes up, the other must go down.
Let's look at two scenarios: 1. Scenario A: The more hours you spend studying (), the higher your exam grade () tends to be. Since both increase together, this is a positive correlation. 2. Scenario B: The more hours you spend playing video games (), the fewer hours of sleep () you get. Since one increases while the other decreases, this is a negative correlation.
Quick Check
If a researcher finds that as tooth brushing frequency increases, the number of cavities decreases, what type of correlation is this?
Answer
This is a negative correlation because the variables move in opposite directions.
To see a correlation, psychologists use a scatterplot. This is a graph where each dot represents one data point. If the dots form a line pointing from the bottom-left to the top-right, it is a positive correlation. If the line points from the top-left to the bottom-right, it is negative. If the dots are scattered everywhere like spilled glitter, there is a zero correlation, meaning the variables and have no relationship at all.
Imagine plotting the relationship between 'Number of Umbrella Sales' and 'Daily Rainfall'. 1. On rainy days, sales are high. On dry days, sales are low. 2. When plotted, the dots form a very tight, clear upward line. 3. Because the dots are close to a straight line, we call this a strong positive correlation.
Sometimes, there is absolutely no link between two things. This is a zero correlation. For instance, your shoe size has nothing to do with your intelligence. On a scatterplot, these points would show no discernible pattern or slope. In mathematical terms, the correlation coefficient, represented by the letter , would be .
Consider this: Ice cream sales and shark attacks are positively correlated. Does ice cream cause shark attacks? 1. Identify Variable : Ice cream sales. 2. Identify Variable : Shark attacks. 3. Identify the 'Third Variable' : Heat/Summer weather. 4. Conclusion: causes both and to increase. The correlation between and is real, but it is not causal.
Which of the following represents a negative correlation?
What does a scatterplot with dots spread randomly across the graph indicate?
If two variables have a correlation of , it means that variable definitely causes variable to happen.
Review Tomorrow
In 24 hours, try to explain the difference between a 'seesaw' relationship and a 'climbing' relationship to a friend without looking at your notes.
Practice Activity
Find a graph in a news article today and determine if the researchers are showing a positive, negative, or zero correlation.